Saturday, March 26, 2011

Webster Financial Corp. Reports Operating Results (10-K)

Webster Financial Corp. (WBS) filed Annual Report for the period ended 2010-12-31.

Webster Financial Corp. Waterbury has a market cap of $2.03 billion; its shares were traded at around $23.23 with a P/E ratio of 49.43 and P/S ratio of 2.22. The dividend yield of Webster Financial Corp. Waterbury stocks is 0.17%.
Hedge Fund Gurus that owns WBS: Richard Pzena of Pzena Investment Management LLC, Paul Tudor Jones of The Tudor Group, Bruce Kovner of Caxton Associates, Jim Simons of Renaissance Technologies LLC, Steven Cohen of SAC Capital Advisors. Mutual Fund and Other Gurus that owns WBS: Kenneth Fisher of Fisher Asset Management, LLC, HOTCHKIS & WILEY of Hotchkis & Wliey Capital Management LLC, Mario Gabelli of GAMCO Investors.

Highlight of Business Operations:

Webster has focused its efforts in recent years on enhancing its risk management capabilities. Those efforts were evidenced in 2010 as the Company experienced significant improvement in virtually all credit related metrics and non-performing loans fell by nearly $100 million in the past year from $373.0 million at December 31, 2009 (3.38% of total loans) to $273.6 million at December 31, 2010 (2.48% of total loans). During the same timeframe, past due loans fell from $101.2 million (0.92% of total loans) to $73.6 million (0.67% of total loans). Foreclosed and repossessed assets remained relatively stable at $28.2 million at December 31, 2010 compared to $29.0 million at December 31, 2009. The improving trend in credit metrics favorably impacted the provision for loan losses. The Company recorded $115.0 million in provision for loan losses in 2010 compared to $303.0 million in 2009.

The Company saw success from its efforts to grow the core banking business in 2010. In support of that goal, six experienced commercial lenders and eleven small business development officers were hired. While impacted by the economic environment, the loan portfolio benefitted from this investment as originations in 2010 were $480.2 million and $128.2 million in middle market and business and professional banking portfolios, respectively. The continued move from transaction-based to relationship-based lending was clearly evident in commercial bank results as middle market originations were accompanied by $234 million of net deposit growth.

The Company also significantly improved the quality of its capital position in 2010. On March 3, 2010 and again on October 13, 2010, Webster repurchased $100 million of its Capital Purchase Program preferred shares held by the United States Treasury. On December 27, 2010, Webster completed a public offering of 6.6 million shares of common stock at a price to the public of $18.00 per share and a concurrent sale of 2.1 million shares to Warburg Pincus and one if its affiliates, each an existing stockholder, at the price to the public less applicable underwriting discounts and commissions. On December 29, 2010, Webster used the proceeds together with available funds to redeem the remaining $200 million of Capital Purchase Program preferred shares held by the United States Treasury. These measures, amongst others, served to improve the capital of the Company, as evidenced by the Company’s ratio of Tier 1 Common Equity over risk weighted assets, which rose from 7.83% at December 31, 2009 to 9.87% at December 31, 2010.

The Collins Amendment, included in the Dodd-Frank Act, requires bank holding companies with assets greater than $500 million to be subject to the same capital requirements as insured depository institutions, meaning, for instance, that such bank holding companies will no longer be able to count trust preferred securities as Tier 1 capital. The Collins Amendment also directs the appropriate federal banking supervisors, subject to Council recommendations, to develop capital requirements for all insured depository institutions, depository institution holding companies and systemically important non-bank financial companies to address systemically risky activities. For bank holding companies with assets of $15 billion or greater, such as Webster, the phase out of existing trust preferred and other non-qualifying securities from Tier 1 capital will occur over a 3-year period beginning on January 1, 2013. Trust preferred securities will be entitled to be treated as Tier 2 capital.

FRB regulations require depository institutions to maintain non-interest-earning reserves against their transaction accounts (primarily NOW and regular checking accounts). Required reserves can be in the form of vault cash and, if vault cash does not fully satisfy the required reserves, in the form of a balance maintained. The FRB regulations currently require that reserves be maintained against aggregate transaction accounts except for transaction accounts up to $10.7 million which are exempt. Transaction accounts greater than $10.7 million up to $44.5 million have a reserve requirement of 3% and those greater than $44.5 have a reserve requirement of 10%. The FRB generally makes annual adjustments to the tiered reserves. The Bank is in compliance with these requirements.

The Federal Home Loan Bank System consists of 12 regional Federal Home Loan Banks. The Federal Home Loan Bank System provides a central credit facility for member institutions. The Bank is a member of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Boston (“FHLB”). The Bank is required to purchase and hold shares of capital stock in the FHLB in an amount equal to 0.35% of the aggregate principal amount of its unpaid residential mortgage loans and similar obligations at the beginning of each year up to a maximum of $25 million. The Bank is also required to hold shares of capital stock in the FHLB in amounts that vary between 3.0% to 4.5% of its advances (borrowings), depending on the maturity of the advance. The Bank was in compliance with this requirement with an investment in FHLB stock at December 31, 2010 of $93.2 million. At December 31, 2010, the Bank had approximately $768.0 million in FHLB advances.

Market Overview December 2009: Fisher Capital Management

Market Overview December 2009: Fisher Capital Management - Stocks closed lower in October for the first time in seven months, as investors questioned whether the huge rally off the March lows had exceeded the economy’s ability to generate growth in output and profits.

Indeed, equities capped off a volatile month (the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) experienced triple-digit moves in ten trading sessions!) with a volatile week, as the S&P 500 Index experienced its worst five-day span since early July.

For the month, the DJIA eked out a fractional gain, while all the other major equity market indices suffered losses. Small cap stocks, which had been among the performance leaders of the seven-month rally, experienced the worst hit, with the Russell 2000® Index falling by almost 7%. In another sign that the market may be growing skeptical of the “higher risk, higher reward” strategy, the NASDAQ Composite Index, dominated by technology holdings, declined 3.6% for the month.

Market Overview December 2009: Fisher Capital Management - Yet perhaps emblematic of the struggles experienced in the markets recently, growth stocks outperformed value in October, contradicting the idea that the pursuit of “risk” had become out of favor over the past several weeks. Moreover, the weakness in U.S. markets failed to extend beyond our borders last month, as developed markets (MSCI EAFE) experienced just a fractional loss, while the emerging markets (MSCI EM) managed to rise by up to 1%, adding to their impressive year-to-date (YTD) returns.

From a sector perspective, two of the three leading performers off the March lows (financials and materials) declined by the largest amounts in October, as investors appeared to lock in gains of approximately 150% for the financials sector and 75% for the materials sector. Despite the weakness in the technologyladen NASDAQ Composite last month, the higher-quality and larger-cap tech names comprising the S&P 500 Index’s information technology sector simply dropped fractionally. Rising oil prices pushed the energy sector higher by 3%, and the “defensive trade” was still evident within the consumer staples sector, which held on for a 1% gain.

Market Overview December 2009: Fisher Capital Management - In other asset classes, fixed-income was mixed last month. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note backed up by seven basis points, as traders likely moved funds elsewhere as the Federal Reserve concluded its $300 billion Treasury purchase program. The dollar continued to weaken, hovering near 14-month lows, which helped drive up the prices for oil, gold, and most commodities.

Fisher Capital Management Korea is a leading global financial institution holding extensive relationships with financial institutions, institutional investors and corporations across the world. As a full service company Fisher Capital Management Korea provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.

Market Overview December 2009: Fisher Capital Management

Market Overview December 2009: Fisher Capital Management - Stocks closed lower in October for the first time in seven months, as investors questioned whether the huge rally off the March lows had exceeded the economy’s ability to generate growth in output and profits.

Indeed, equities capped off a volatile month (the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) experienced triple-digit moves in ten trading sessions!) with a volatile week, as the S&P 500 Index experienced its worst five-day span since early July.

For the month, the DJIA eked out a fractional gain, while all the other major equity market indices suffered losses. Small cap stocks, which had been among the performance leaders of the seven-month rally, experienced the worst hit, with the Russell 2000® Index falling by almost 7%. In another sign that the market may be growing skeptical of the “higher risk, higher reward” strategy, the NASDAQ Composite Index, dominated by technology holdings, declined 3.6% for the month.

Market Overview December 2009: Fisher Capital Management - Yet perhaps emblematic of the struggles experienced in the markets recently, growth stocks outperformed value in October, contradicting the idea that the pursuit of “risk” had become out of favor over the past several weeks. Moreover, the weakness in U.S. markets failed to extend beyond our borders last month, as developed markets (MSCI EAFE) experienced just a fractional loss, while the emerging markets (MSCI EM) managed to rise by up to 1%, adding to their impressive year-to-date (YTD) returns.

From a sector perspective, two of the three leading performers off the March lows (financials and materials) declined by the largest amounts in October, as investors appeared to lock in gains of approximately 150% for the financials sector and 75% for the materials sector. Despite the weakness in the technologyladen NASDAQ Composite last month, the higher-quality and larger-cap tech names comprising the S&P 500 Index’s information technology sector simply dropped fractionally. Rising oil prices pushed the energy sector higher by 3%, and the “defensive trade” was still evident within the consumer staples sector, which held on for a 1% gain.

Market Overview December 2009: Fisher Capital Management - In other asset classes, fixed-income was mixed last month. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note backed up by seven basis points, as traders likely moved funds elsewhere as the Federal Reserve concluded its $300 billion Treasury purchase program. The dollar continued to weaken, hovering near 14-month lows, which helped drive up the prices for oil, gold, and most commodities.

Fisher Capital Management Korea is a leading global financial institution holding extensive relationships with financial institutions, institutional investors and corporations across the world. As a full service company Fisher Capital Management Korea provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.

Fisher Capital Management: Market Performance – US Economy

Fisher Capital Management Report, Part 1 - Output growth exceeded what were once considered lofty expectations during the third quarter, as real GDP (inflation adjusted Gross Domestic Product) rose by a 3.5% annual pace from the previous quarter. To be sure, this was the first gain in economic activity after four consecutive quarterly declines in GDP. While technically this indicates an end to the recession, we point out that on a year-over-year (YOY) basis, economic activity has still declined 2.3%, yet it represents an improvement from the -3.8% YOY in the second quarter, the worst annual drop in seven decades. The components of GDP were led by growth in personal consumption, which increased 3.4% as stimulus programs such as “Cash for Clunkers” allowed consumer spending to increase by the largest amount in two years. Home construction surged at an annual rate of 23%, spurred on by the $8,000 tax credit for first-time buyers. Another decline in business inventories also added to output, as did the growth in government spending (2.3%). Though businesses increased spending on equipment and software, fixed investment remained weak.

Market Performance, US Economy: Fisher Capital Management Report - As the positive effects of federal stimuli diminish, we continue to project an economic recovery that is “less spectacular” than in previous experiences. While output growth has improved as government programs spurred consumption relative to housing and autos, our concern rests on the economy¹s ability to sustain these rates of growth as government programs wane. Indeed, personal spending fell 0.5% in September after the “Cash for Clunkers” program concluded in August. Consumer confidence also weakened in October as the unemployment rate approached 10%. Until we experience a sustainable floor in housing and a ceiling on the unemployment rate, we suspect output growth will rely on exports, inventories, and government outlays, areas that we characterize as “cushions” for growth.

Market Performance, US Economy: Fisher Capital Management Report - As the unemployment rate lingers within the range of 10% and Fed policymakers remain committed to keeping interest rates low for an “extended period,” we look for real GDP to expand at an average rate of approximately 2.5% in 2010.

Fisher Capital Management, Korea is a leading global financial institution holding extensive relationships with financial institutions, institutional investors and corporations across the world.
As a full service company Fisher Capital Management, Korea provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.

China: Market Overview 1st Quarter 2010 Fisher Capital Management Korea

Fisher Capital Management Seoul Korea - April is going to set the tone for the world economy depending on how China is labeled by the US and China’s reaction to it. Our gut feeling is that apart from the rhetoric — which is in the air with respect to the Yuan-dollar rates, China’s current account surplus and internet independence — neither of them will rock the boat.

Already five prominent members of the G20 — South Korea, Canada, France, the US and the UK — have sent a coded warning to China against reneging on economic agreements. Perception of China and the US in international relations is far apart.

According to China, the main issues are Taiwan and the sale of arms to Tibet and
for the US the issues are the Yuan-dollar rate, trade surplus and Internet freedom.

China: Market Overview 1st Quarter 2010 Fisher Capital Management Seoul Korea - Under the Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act of 1988, the U.S. government
is to decide whether to label China a “currency manipulator.” This has not been
done since 1994, but if China is named, it will give the US Congress new ammunition
to press for concrete action. China is asserting itself in international relations.
Beijing has emerged from the global recession with a fresh confidence about its
state-led economy, which has delivered stimulus projects from high-speed railways
to highways and bridges with remarkable efficiency. And it is in no mood to be
lectured by Washington about how to support the world economy or to operate her
own economy.

China’s economic growth will be around 10% in 2010 following strong industrial
output growth in coming months. Inflation may rise to 3.5–4% in 2010. The government’s target of inflation is 3%. But, China has hidden debt risk among Chinese local government investment companies. Official estimates of the total outstanding loan balance for such investment entities exceed Rmb 6,000bn — or roughly 20% of GDP — a figure that may be an underestimate.

China: Market Overview 1st Quarter 2010 Fisher Capital Management Korea - Undervaluation of the Yuan is taken for granted and is estimated to be in the range of 30–40%. The US administration believes that the Yuan’s appreciation will not only solve the trade deficit problem between the US and China but also the US unemployment.

Beijing’s position is that China’s currency policy isn’t the cause of the U.S.’s economic problems, and that China wouldn’t adjust its currency rate under outside pressure. “The Chinese government will only make the decision according to the national condition and the country’s development level,” according the Chinese President Wen. China believes that a surge in the Yuan could destabilize the global economy, hitting developing nations especially hard and even perhaps causing the value of the dollar to plunge.

The World Bank forecasts that China’s current-account surplus, the broadest measure
of its trade position, will rise this year to $304 billion, after dropping to $284.1 billion
in 2009 from a record $426.1 billion in 2008.

Fisher Capital is a leading global financial institution holding extensive relationships with financial institutions, institutional investors and corporations across the world.

As a full service company Fisher Capital provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.

South Korea: Market Overview 2010 Fisher Capital Management Seoul

South Korea: Fisher Capital Management Seoul - The South Korean economy is expected to grow by 4–5% in 2010. The government’s efforts were seriously questioned when it clipped the independence of the central bank when the government sent its observers to the central bank’s policy meetings.

However, the central bank will start raising interest rates in the third quarter to prevent inflation and asset bubbles. For the time being inflation is stable. It fell from 3.1% in January to 2.7% in February, but inflation will accelerate in the second half due to higher oil prices and rising imports. This should see policy interest rates
to go up by 25 basis points in the third quarter and another 25 basis points in December.

South Korea: Market Overview 2010 Fisher Capital Management Seoul - The government appointed Mr. Kim, who has served as a presidential economic secretary and is currently South Korea’s ambassador to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Under the new leadership, the central bank may cooperate even more closely with the government than it has under Governor Lee. The central bank under Mr. Kim may be more willing to risk inflation
in order to ensure that the economic recovery remains on track. The Korean policy
interest rate has been at an all-time low of 2.0% for more than a year now and the bank expects inflation to stay around 2.5% in the near future.

South Korea: Market Overview 2010 Fisher Capital Management Seoul - Fisher Capital is a leading global financial institution holding extensive relationships with financial institutions, institutional investors and corporations across the world.

As a full service company Fisher Capital provides a full range of investment banking services including advanced risk management, corporate strategy and structure, plus raising capital through debt and equity markets. With this as our backbone we continue to provide a client service second to none.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2011

The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report Part 1

Fisher Capital Management Report - The UK has had an emergency budget and it could have been much worse. The heavy lifting is being done by a rise in VAT bringing in £13 billion. On the spending side the cuts are achieved by freezing public sector pay, indexing state benefits to the CPI rather than the faster-rising RPI and freezing child benefits. State pensions will be indexed to the higher of wages or the CPI but the pension age will be raised to 66 fairly soon.
The disappointment for the UK is on the tax side where compromises with the worst aspects of the Lib Dems are apparent. CGT goes up to 28% for top earners … a mistake.
The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report: The 50% top tax rate and associated rise in the top marginal rate on pensions have been left alone. There is a Bank Levy bringing in £2 billion … defensible, just, at this level but it needs remembering that taxpayers generally make money out of bailouts because they get assets at knock-down prices and are able to hold them until times are better. Then there are cuts in corporation taxes on both large and big firms, which is to be welcomed.
But there is no clear logic here; no sense that the tax system is to be remoulded, to give incentives for entrepreneurs, inward investors to the UK and indeed home investors.
The main question that most people will be asking is whether the fiscal arithmetic will come off and the deficit come down as planned to 1.1% of GDP by 2015/16.
The answer depends entirely now on growth. Contrary to most people’s comments, cutting spending as planned is not really that difficult.
The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report: Much of it will involve simply freezing rogrammes in real terms and also cutting pay in real terms, which the announced freeze on pay will do. Probably some programmes can actually be cut without much trouble given the considerable decline in public sector productivity in the last decade … in other words value for money in the public sector has never been worse.
The main issue is whether UK GDP will grow as forecast, at 2–3% in the next few years. If it does, then revenues will recover substantially.
Already the PSBR figures have come in some £10 billion below the original projections and that seems to be because the original growth figures for 2010 were too low.
There are good reasons for thinking growth of this order will occur. The world economy is recovering rapidly, led by the East — China, India and East Asia. These countries are achieving extremely rapid rates of productivity growth by moving people out of low productivity agriculture mainly into high-productivity manufacturing. Hence their fast growth.
The problem for the West is that these countries also pre-empt available supplies of raw materials such as oil. So if the West grows any faster than its present moderate recovery, it would trigger renewed surges in raw material prices, which in turn would reduce Western productivity growth (factories are less profitable as those prices rise).
So there is a built-in drag on western growth. But nevertheless growth of the 2–3% order is in line with productivity growth at current raw material prices.
One concern for the UK is whether the spending cuts and tax rises themselves will derail the recovery. This is something that Labour is emphasizing.
However, the programme is spread out over five years and this should be gradual enough to be absorbed with monetary policy remaining supportive.

The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report Part 1

Fisher Capital Management Report - The UK has had an emergency budget and it could have been much worse. The heavy lifting is being done by a rise in VAT bringing in £13 billion. On the spending side the cuts are achieved by freezing public sector pay, indexing state benefits to the CPI rather than the faster-rising RPI and freezing child benefits. State pensions will be indexed to the higher of wages or the CPI but the pension age will be raised to 66 fairly soon.
The disappointment for the UK is on the tax side where compromises with the worst aspects of the Lib Dems are apparent. CGT goes up to 28% for top earners … a mistake.
The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report: The 50% top tax rate and associated rise in the top marginal rate on pensions have been left alone. There is a Bank Levy bringing in £2 billion … defensible, just, at this level but it needs remembering that taxpayers generally make money out of bailouts because they get assets at knock-down prices and are able to hold them until times are better. Then there are cuts in corporation taxes on both large and big firms, which is to be welcomed.
But there is no clear logic here; no sense that the tax system is to be remoulded, to give incentives for entrepreneurs, inward investors to the UK and indeed home investors.
The main question that most people will be asking is whether the fiscal arithmetic will come off and the deficit come down as planned to 1.1% of GDP by 2015/16.
The answer depends entirely now on growth. Contrary to most people’s comments, cutting spending as planned is not really that difficult.
The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report: Much of it will involve simply freezing rogrammes in real terms and also cutting pay in real terms, which the announced freeze on pay will do. Probably some programmes can actually be cut without much trouble given the considerable decline in public sector productivity in the last decade … in other words value for money in the public sector has never been worse.
The main issue is whether UK GDP will grow as forecast, at 2–3% in the next few years. If it does, then revenues will recover substantially.
Already the PSBR figures have come in some £10 billion below the original projections and that seems to be because the original growth figures for 2010 were too low.
There are good reasons for thinking growth of this order will occur. The world economy is recovering rapidly, led by the East — China, India and East Asia. These countries are achieving extremely rapid rates of productivity growth by moving people out of low productivity agriculture mainly into high-productivity manufacturing. Hence their fast growth.
The problem for the West is that these countries also pre-empt available supplies of raw materials such as oil. So if the West grows any faster than its present moderate recovery, it would trigger renewed surges in raw material prices, which in turn would reduce Western productivity growth (factories are less profitable as those prices rise).
So there is a built-in drag on western growth. But nevertheless growth of the 2–3% order is in line with productivity growth at current raw material prices.
One concern for the UK is whether the spending cuts and tax rises themselves will derail the recovery. This is something that Labour is emphasizing.
However, the programme is spread out over five years and this should be gradual enough to be absorbed with monetary policy remaining supportive.

Fisher Capital Management- Financial Market August 2010

Fisher Capital Management- Financial Markets: Sentiment in the financial markets has improved over the past month. The global economic recovery is continuing, so far there have been no sovereign debt defaults, and there has been a modest recovery in the euro. Investors and traders therefore appear to have concluded that the gloom was overdone.
But there has been evidence of a worsening situation in Spain, and the decision by the Chinese authorities to adopt a “more flexible” towards renminbi has also raised some concerns about the growth prospects for the Chinese economy.
Fisher Capital Management- Equity Markets: All the major equity markets, and the emerging markets, have improved over the past month. Wall Street has outperformed markets elsewhere because of some welcome economic data; there have been strong gains in most of the mainland European markets as the sovereign debt crisis has appeared to ease; the UK market has welcomed the measures by the new coalition government to address the problems of the huge UK fiscal deficit; and the Japanese market has also moved slightly higher. Corporate results have been satisfactory; and this has helped to improve sentiment
amongst investors.
Government Bond Markets have had another unusual month.
The sovereign debt crisis might have been expected to lead to a general weakness in bond markets; but the main effect has been to produce aggressive switching for the “weaker” markets to the “stronger” ones, and a further widening of the yield curve.
As a result the major markets are unchanged or only slightly lower at a time when the “weaker” markets, especially in Southern Europe, have continued their sharp declines. Slow economic growth and
Low short-term interest rates are continuing to provide support. Currencies: The improvement in sentiment in the markets has led to a movement of funds out of the “safe havens” of the dollar and the yen into commodity-related currencies and “riskier” assets. Both the dollar and the yen are therefore slightly weaker over the
Month; and this movement has also eased some of the pressure on the euro, and allowed it to recover.
Sterling has also improved as the markets have welcomed the measures introduced by the new UK government to reduce the fiscal deficit.
Fisher Capital Management- Short-Term Interest Rates: There have been no changes in short term interest rates over the past month in the major financial markets.
Fisher Capital Management- Commodity markets: have produced a mixed performance over the past month, with some weakness in base metal prices, but strong gains in the prices of cocoa, coffee, oil and precious metals.

Fisher Capital Management - Japan Elects a New Premier Part 2

Fisher Capital ManagementEight and a half months after riding the Democratic Party of Japan’s (DPJ) historic lower house victory into office, Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama announced his resignation, having haphazardly frittered away a chest brimming with political capital.

Major newspapers said that Hatoyama was resigning mainly for two reasons: his failure to keep his promise to relocate the functions of US Marine Corps Air Station Futenma, Okinawa, out of Okinawa Prefecture, and a political funding scandal that included his mother’s provision of some ¥1.26 billion to him over years.

Fisher Capital Management -Japan Elects a New Premier Part 2:Instead of deregulation and lower corporate taxes, he envisions increased employment and consumption through focused government spending in nursing, medicine and other social welfare fields.
Related Coverage

    * Fisher Capital Management: Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Part2
      Fisher Capital Management: Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Part 2 - Our position remains unchanged; any existing exposure to bonds should be further reduced in favor of US & Euro equities.
    * Fisher Capital Management: Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Part2
      Fisher Capital Management: Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Part 2 - Our position remains unchanged; any existing exposure to bonds should be further reduced in favor of US & Euro equities.
    * The UK Emergency Budget - Fisher Capital Management Report Part 1
      Fisher Capital Management Report - The UK has had an emergency budget and it could have been much worse.
    * Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Fisher Capital Management Seoul
      Government Bond Markets Global Outlook Fisher Capital Management Seoul - Conditions in the government bond markets have remained very difficult over the past month,

But some economists expressed doubts; they say there is no guarantee that the positive effect of government spending can steadily outpace the negative effects of tax hikes.

Kan seems to be open to the idea of raising Japan’s consumption tax from its current level of 5%, though the approach of the upperhouse election on July and concerns over a political backlash suggest caution will be the government’s modus operandi.

“Any rise in the consumption tax rate must be offset by lower levies on daily goods as well as refunds for low-income households”, he recently said. But he also hopes to reduce corporate taxes from the current 40% rate to around 25%, in line with other major countries. In the foreign exchange market, Kan has earned a reputation as a weak-yen advocate. “The business community says that a yen in the mid-90s against the dollar is appropriate, so it would be better

if it weakens a bit further”, he said in January, shortly after becoming finance minister.

Fisher Capital Management -Japan Elects a New Premier Part 2:Market observers believe that Kan still supports a weaker yen and that the Japanese currency could depreciate against the US dollar. Regarding monetary policy, Kan is generally considered an advocate of inflation-targeting and quantitative easing. As finance minister, he has put some political pressure on the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to fight deflation more aggressively, he nudged the BOJ to double a special bank lending program introduced in December. The bond market believes Kan is a wise choice to manage the sustainability of Japan’s government debt.

The DPJ had promised to unveil a long-term plan to improve public finances. However, “postponement is likely because of the current political churn, and any real ‘meat’ in the plan will probably not be disclosed until after the Upper House election” … says Flemming Nielsen, senior analyst at Danske research.

Kan is a self-made man, ascending into politics after years toiling in citizen movements and he has a reputation as a quick learner and a pragmatic politician, with sharp elbows and an aversion to any criticism.

The country he now leads is facing dire long-term problems that beg for strong leadership, including a staggering level of public debt, a stagnant economy, and an ageing population. He has a few weeks to fix the impression left by nine months of incompetent DPJ governance.

If he fails, the party will be routed in the elections for the Diet’s upper house.

Wednesday, March 9, 2011

Fisher Capital Equipment Update - Market Slams Fisher and Paykel on Profit Warning

Birmingham, AL -- (SBWIRE) -- 12/20/2010 -- The share market has come down hard on Fisher & Paykel Appliances - with its shares falling 40 per cent after the company issued a profit warning today.

The whiteware manufacturer's shares, which were worth $2.94 this time last year and worth $1 on Friday, went into free fall and are currently trading at just 60 cents, a 40 cent fall.

Earlier today the company said it expected a net profit of $25 million to $30m, down up to 54 per cent on last year.

Due to the deterioration in the New Zealand dollar, Fisher & Paykel Appliances' total bank debt grew $122 from March last year to $512m at the end of January. It was predicted to be $570m by the end of March.

It is now looking at reviewing its capital structure and alternative sources of capital.

Fisher Capital Equipment Update - Market slams Fisher and Paykel on profit Warning - The market was very concerned the company had to come back with a capital raising, which was unexpected, said Hamilton, Hindin, and Greene director Grant Williamson.

The home appliance market had dropped off in all areas Fisher & Paykel exported to and there did not appear to be too many signs of a turnaround in world housing at the moment, he said.

"I think investors are starting to say; how long is it going to be before conditions change for the company? I think that's the biggest concern."
Williamson said Fisher & Paykel Appliances' wares were sold into most new homes but when very few new homes being built it would have a serious effect on their sales.

A 40 per cent drop in share value was a big hit for the share price to take but that was the general state of the market.

"If any company disappoints the market then the market is very harsh on their share price and we have certainly seen that this morning with Fisher & Paykel Appliances."

The company announced it would not proceed with a capital note issue and was looking an alternative source of capital.

The directors were considering the merits of issuing equity, including to a cornerstone investor.

Williamson said he did not believe a capital notes rising would have been particularly well received.

He did not see any short term bounce in the price until there was clarification around the structure of equity rising. That was expected to be announced in early March.

"At the moment there's still a fair degree of selling in the market place, around the 60c level."- NZPA

FISHER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT warning tips: Triad Boiler Room Systems Launched New Commercial Boilers

Triad Boiler Room Systems Launched New Commercial Boilers
Fisher Capital on Boiler Room Equipment, Inc: Triad Boiler Systems manufactures uniquely rugged small-footprint hot water boilers, steam boilers, and radiant heating systems. All our boilers use 12 gauge firetubes in compact vessels that fit through very small doorways! Inputs range up to 2,000,000 BTU's. Create a highly efficient system with millions of BTU's by sequencing a string of these modular vessels.
TRIAD's commercial boilers and industrial grade Hot Water Heating, Domestic Hot Water, and Steam boilers are used in a wide variety of applications. Our commercial boilers are used at schools, universities, apartments, hospitals, office buildings, retirement communities, and churches. Industrial uses have included bakeries, smelting operations, food processing, quenching systems, and various heating applications for manufacturing. Triads' modular boilers and radiant heating systems can be natural gas fired, oil fired, or dual fuel fired. For simplicity of operation and maintenance, all controls on our boilers are well known, off-the-shelf products. There area no proprietary parts on these boilers! This simplicity of operation is part of our philosophy, and an important reason why our customers return to us again and again.
TRIAD has been manufacturing high-quality boilers since 1926, and developed the modular boiler concept with primary/secondary piping, receiving a patent for it in 1967. We put this experience, knowledge, and expertise into every boiler.
We believe in quality - it is the overriding characteristic driving our company. This is why we manufacture extremely rugged, well-designed hot water and steam boilers that can provide decades of dependable service. We welcome your inquiries.
Benefits of Modularity
TRIAD's elegantly simple design maintains consistent water volume where heat is required.
• Boilers are activated sequentially, drawing water from the main loop into the next hot water boiler until the heating need is meet.
• firing boilers remaining isolated, so no heated water circulates through cold boilers.
• During most of the year the unfired boilers provide additional backup.
• Outdoor temperatures and loop water temperatures are constantly monitored.
Fisher Capital on Boiler Room Equipment, Inc: The efficiency of this design is most apparent during warmer months, when a conventional hydronic heating or steam boiler could still be operating at full capacity.
Primary-Secondary Piping
TRIAD integrates modularity with a single pipe primary-secondary system. TRIAD was the first company to employ a Primary-Secondary concept. It operates with two loops, (i) the primary loop, or building main loop, and (ii) smaller secondary loops off of each hot water boiler, which supply heated water to the primary loop.
Upon a call for heat, the boiler pump begins pushing the return water into the boiler and out through the secondary loop, supplying this hot water up into the primary loop (the main header), where it mixes with the cooler return water from the main loop of the building.
• Supply and return water are blended, avoiding the need for expensive and unreliable mixing valves commonly used in two pipe systems.
• The secondary loop isolates each hot water boiler, resulting in a very efficient system that minimizes thermal shock.
Control Panel
TRIAD Boilers can be sequenced by the use of our control panel that provides many attractive features:
• Temperature set-back when less heat is required, such as nights and weekends.
• Adjustments for latent heat, to take advantage of hot boiler water that retains heat after the burner shuts down.
• Outdoor reset based on atmospheric temperatures.
• Monitoring of return water temperatures to maintain accurate heating output.
It is also very easy to sequence our boilers using the panel of any other major manufacturer.
Packaged Product
Fisher Capital on Boiler Room Equipment, Inc: All TRIAD hot water boilers and steam boilers are fully assembled, packaged products, which offer several advantages over boilers that must be assembled at the jobsite
• Onsite labor costs are minimized.
• Quality control is higher at the factory than at the jobsite
• The ease of installation of a packaged boiler allows for quicker start up.
Benefits of Steel Boilers
Easy to Clean
To maintain boiler efficiency, heating surfaces must be kept clean and free of combustion by-products. All TRIAD heating surfaces, especially the firetubes, are easy to access. It is impossible to clean all the heating surfaces of a cast iron boiler, and what can be reached is difficult to clean.
TRIAD also makes it easy to maintain clean water surfaces. The cleaning of the interior of a cast iron boiler is a major undertaking, and even then only the vertical surfaces can be cleaned. The inability to clean the horizontal surfaces can have a significant impact on operating efficiency.

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